Which term is a measure of the probability that a particular risk will be realized and impact the organization?

Which term is a measure of the probability that a particular risk will be realized and impact the organization?

• A. Likelihood of Threat
• B. Motivation
• C. ROI
• D. Payback

Answer: (A)

The main idea here is evaluating how likely it is that a risk will actually occur and affect the organization. In risk assessment, risk is often thought of as a combination of probability and impact. The probability part is captured by the likelihood of threat—the chance that a threat actor could exploit a vulnerability and cause harm. This is exactly what the term “likelihood of threat” measures: the probability that a specific risk will be realized.

The other options aren’t about probability of realization. ROI and Payback are financial metrics that tell you how quickly an investment pays off, not how likely a threat is to materialize. Motivation describes why a threat actor might act, but not the chance that they will act or that the risk will be realized. So the term that directly measures the probability of a risk occurring and impacting the organization is the likelihood of threat.